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| Risk & Reward: Strategy | ||
| Outpacing the Herd
John Ferry 03/01/2006 |
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Specialist hedge funds that invest in unusual asset classes are gaining in popularity as their managers promise to offer significantly higher returns than those available from large funds pursuing traditional strategies. These niche funds are becoming the belles of the investing ball. Indeed, some believe the hedge fund market is effectively splitting in two. On one side are the large, established funds that pursue one or more plain-vanilla strategies, such as global macro, long/short equity or merger arbitrage; on the other are the small niche players that take positions in unusual markets with high barriers to entry and little liquidity. “These small niches are what everyone is looking for on the allocation side, because it’s very hard for hedge funds to get returns at this point in time,” says Charles Davidson, director and senior hedge fund specialist at rating agency Standard & Poor’s in New York.
Small Wonders
Managers of the new Clarksons fund, which seeks to generate absolute returns of 15 to 20 percent annually from a capital base of $200 million to $300 million, hope to beat larger hedge fund competitors by using the company’s expert knowledge of the shipping sector. “Information in this market is easily accessible to people from shipping, but not easily accessible to people from outside, so this creates a barrier to entry,” Aury says. This may give Clarksons a strong position when trading the inefficiencies in the shipping sector, at least for a time. “At the moment, I think we will be the only one harvesting that low-hanging fruit,” Aury adds. Compare this to the convertible arbitrage market in which funds invest in convertible bonds to obtain the embedded stock options, while selling short the underlying stock and hedging out the credit risk of the bond itself. This strategy depends on persistently high equity market volatility, which increases the value of the embedded options. (Indeed, many standard hedge fund strategies glean their value from equity volatility.) But in the last year, the equity markets have been anything but volatile. In mid-December, the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s VIX index of S&P 500 implied volatility was hovering a mere point above its 52-week low. According to Aury, the shipping market, by contrast, is extremely volatile, which means there are plenty of opportunities to generate the excess returns that hedge fund investors seek. Some hedge funds of funds are now turning to niche fund investments. London-based PSolve Alternative Investments, for example, launched a fund in December that specifically targets niche areas. Called the Niche Opportunities Fund, it invests in roughly 20 underlying specialist hedge funds, including ones that target the Asian property market, and a fund that focuses on the financing and trading of manufactured housing. As with Clarksons, the fund will seek to generate absolute annual returns of 15 to 20 percent. “I think the money in hedge funds is going back to where hedge funds began, which is smart guys playing a niche,” says Soondra Appavoo, PSolve’s London-based managing director. “If you are playing a niche, then you are more likely to make money than playing in generalities.” He adds, “There are loads of great hedge fund managers out there playing small defendable niches that other people simply aren’t looking at yet.” PSolve believes that newer strategies often offer a better risk-and-return profile than more established approaches. PSolve therefore aims to identify funds that are either implementing completely new stratagems or funds adopting novel variations of old ones. The company seeks funds that typically have less than $400 million under management and have a policy of capping the amount of capital they will accept. “The managers are typically capping themselves early, so they’re not trying to put $4 billion to work in the U.S. real estate space, for example,” Appavoo says. Appavoo argues that from a risk perspective, small, untested funds can actually be a safer bet than their larger counterparts that already have a trading history. “If you look at the big, huge hedge funds out there playing the mainstream—like people that are playing the G7 government bond markets—they tend to be leveraging those arbitrage plays up to the hilt, which means when it goes wrong, it goes wrong quite badly,” he notes. Niche players often do not have to rely so much on leverage to meet the returns targets thereby taking less risk than the bigger funds, he argues. Warning Label This sort of corporate restructuring play can take a long time to pay off, so when considering it from a liquidity standpoint, it may resemble a private equity fund rather than a hedge fund. “You derive your upside from the inefficiencies related to the market’s imperfect interpretation of underlying businesses, rather than short-term pricing discrepancies,” Fattouh explains. Other risks also come into play. The potential that a manager will commit fraud, for example, will generally be higher with niche funds. “Small funds do have more organizational risk, and as a private investor, you would have more comfort having due diligence done by an advisor or a fund of funds,” Fattouh observes. Appavoo adds, “We make sure that they’ve got a full operational set up, a complete back office, independent administrators and independent custodians doing the pricing. We make sure that, to the extent possible, the funds have liquidity, that they can match the liquidity they are offering us with the liquidity of the underlyings.” Also, since these funds are by nature small, it is often difficult to find and access them. PSolve uses a combination of prime broker contacts, independent capital introduction firms and its own industry connections. Wealthy investors who do not have access to such a network can turn to a fund-of-funds manager or advisor who does. By deliberately not running with the herd, niche hedge funds may offer compelling investment opportunities. However, they do not come with the implicit operational safety net usually offered by their larger peers, which makes careful selection of funds and ongoing due diligence especially important. John Ferry is a senior correspondent for Worth. |