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Risk & Reward Retrospective
John Ferry
01/01/2006

9. The Secondary Private Equity Market
The Backdoor Investor January 2005, page 86.
Interest in the secondary market for private equity, which lets investors sell unwanted assets and buyers pick up private equity exposures at a discount, continues to increase on the back of unabated demand for alternative asset allocations, says Lawrence Penn, managing director at the Camelot Group International, a New York–based advisory firm that manages and facilitates secondary market transactions. “Our deal flow has never been at a higher level,” he maintains. “I’ve just talked to around 13 different investors in Dubai, and they are all interested in this.”

Firms that specialize in these transactions work with both buyers and sellers to tailor a range of transaction types, from simple buy-sell agreements to more sophisticated collateralized loans and swaps.

Penn says Camelot believes a number of factors are driving the secondary market’s continued growth. For example, limited partners in private equity funds are seeing a slowdown in distributions, forcing them to source liquidity in the secondary market. Camelot says the volume of deals offered by wealthy individuals and families looking for liquidity has risen sharply.

THEN AND NOW
The secondary market for private equity interests blossomed in the wake of the sector’s crash in 2001–2002, as families struggling to make capital calls or those who simply needed more liquidity used it to bail out. But despite the private equity boomlet of 2004–2005, the secondary market continues to grow, as investors take advantage of it to restructure and rebalance their portfolios.
For now the future of the secondary private equity market looks rosy, and Penn sees no limit to its eventual growth. “There is a constant need for people to restructure their investments, so the market continues to grow on a global basis,” he says.

10. Economic Derivatives
Macro Machinations August 2005, page 92.
The market for economic derivatives, which let investors hedge or take market risk directly associated with the release of key economic indicators, such as the nonfarm payroll number or GDP, is developing quickly. Last year, the main markets for the products, which are run by Goldman Sachs and Deutsche Bank in affiliation with broker Icap, were limited to professional traders. However, at the end of June, Goldman announced a partnership agreement with the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) to broaden access to economic derivatives beginning this year.

The CME agreed to provide electronic order routing to Goldman’s auction market starting in the first quarter. “This new partnership is expected to significantly broaden access to the economic derivatives market and increase the level of investor participation,” CME officials said in a press release following the agreement.

THEN AND NOW
Only six months ago, the most powerful tools for hedging against adverse changes in macroeconomic variables like unemployment or GDP growth were the exclusive province of the professional investor community. Since then, their purveyors have worked to broaden access to these instruments.
Economic derivatives could be used by entrepreneurs as a hedging tool against a loss of business due to an economic downturn, or by investors as a hedge against a spike in inflation. Bets can currently be taken on GDP, U.S nonfarm payrolls, the Institute of Supply Management’s PMI index, weekly initial jobless claims, retail sales, European inflation, U.S. inflation and the international trade balance.

Meanwhile, an economic hedging market of a different stripe has now emerged. HedgeStreet, a San Mateo, Calif.-based company, is offering economic hedging tools online to retail investors. HedgeStreet sells special contracts called hedgelets, which allow investors to speculate on whether or not a particular economic statistic will come in at a given level. Last year the company launched contracts on real estate price movements and the cost of gasoline. HedgeStreet says those contracts are rapidly gaining popularity. On the back of oil price volatility, energy contracts represented 42 percent of the company’s trading volume in July.

John Ferry is a senior correspondent for Worth.

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