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Feature
Risk & Reward Retrospective
John Ferry
01/01/2006

The timber fund of Hancock Timber Resource Group, a Boston-based asset manager, returned an average of 13.9 percent per year, after fees, between its inception in 1985 and at the start of 2005. Compare this with the 9.3 percent returned by the S&P 500 over the same period and the 8.8 percent return on long-term corporate bonds, in light of the fact that the volatility of timber is quite a bit lower than the other two asset classes, and it is easy to see why investors enjoy this wooden performance. The emergence of TIMOs—which offer investment funds that purchase, maintain and manage timberland for institutions, individuals and family offices—has facilitated the expansion of this sector.

THEN AND NOW
Timber investments have performed well over the past several years, with concerns about the negative effects of a housing market downturn now largely offset by the belief that post-Katrina rebuilding needs will support demand for lumber. But the volume of investment capital now chasing timber may dampen the returns enjoyed by new investors.
Probably the most significant event affecting the industry at the moment is the disaggregation of forests from other assets held by integrated paper companies, Akers says. “Firms such as International Paper, Carter Holt Harvey, Louisiana Pacific, Bowater and MeadWestvaco have embarked on significant land sales programs in an effort to focus their operations, win back the hearts of Wall Street and take advantage of the large amounts of capital that is now interested in timber as an asset class,” he says.

This is good news for investors, as it means there is a supply of wood out there that TIMOs can absorb. But Akers gives one warning: “There is a lot of capital from institutional investors that has been allocated to the asset class,” he says, “so many of these assets seem to be fully priced. Given the rather benign global investment climate, interest is not expected to wane anytime soon, so investors entering the asset class now can expect lower future returns, all else being equal, than those who have been in the asset class for some time.”

6. Premium Finance Life Insurance
Financing the Future September 2004, page 98.
The economics underpinning this strategy, which involves borrowing to finance the premium on a life insurance policy, have been eroded by the Federal Reserve’s series of rate hikes since June 2004. When short-term interest rates bottomed out in the wake of the dot-com bubble’s bursting, borrowing the money needed to pay the premium on a life insurance policy seemed an especially clever way to conserve cash while establishing a legacy that would be immune to estate taxes.

Although the details of these policies varied depending on who sold them, the client borrowed to fund the premium in a whole life policy. The deal was predicated on the assumption that the value of the whole life policy’s investments would outstrip the cost of the loan; the principal would be paid using the proceeds after the buyer died.

THEN AND NOW
The advantages of these deals, predicated on the return of a whole life
policy’s investments outpacing the costs of the debt used to finance its premia, have become less compelling as short-term interest rates have risen. However, they are still a useful way to avoid gift taxes.
The concept gained ground due to its appeal to those with wealth tied up in illiquid or volatile assets, such as family businesses. For these individuals, borrowing to finance an insurance premium frees up cash that can be invested in other business ventures.

The transactions are typically priced at a spread of 1.25 to 2.5 percent over Libor. The difference between the overall cost and the return on the universal life contract—the most common policy utilized—is the leverage component. “The higher Libor has gone in the past year, the more pressure there is on the leverage,” notes Ken Godfrey, life insurance product manager at Wachovia Insurance Services in Charlotte, N.C.

However, the rising rates have not killed this strategy off: One of its main advantages, the ability to avoid the gift tax on the amount that would otherwise be paid into a trust to fund an insurance policy’s premiums, remains attractive.
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