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During the course of a typical weekday, Mark Cuban reads four newspapers. As a
member of the general public, that makes him atypical. As a new-media
entrepreneur and investor, it might make him one of a kind. Newspapers across
the country are losing favor with consumers and investors alike, as readership,
revenues and share prices fall. But Cuban and a handful of contrarians believe
untapped opportunities remain hidden in old media. "The education I get from a
$1 copy of the Dallas
Morning News is an incredible value," Cuban
says. "But there aren’t a lot of other people who perceive it that way."
Cuban—who with partner Todd Wagner sold Internet startup
Broadcast.com to Yahoo for $5.7 billion in 1999—admits he is never truly unwired
from technology, except perhaps when he is playing basketball. It’s easy to
assume he would prefer to obtain his news online. But each day, Cuban, who also
owns the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks and HD.net, a high-definition television network
perhaps best known for resurrecting the career of news anchor Dan Rather, reads
his hometown papers, the Morning News
and Fort Worth Star-Telegram, as well as
The New York Times and the Wall Street
Journal.
Cuban is rumored to be eyeing several media properties, and admits that he
would consider buying a newspaper if the right property- perhaps one of his hometown papers—presented itself. Even during an era of crisis for the newspaper
industry, he says he understands the lure of owning a civic landmark and a
mass-communications platform. "In some respects, it’s probably about vanity,"
Cuban says. "There’s a certain cachet and wow factor to owning a newspaper
that’s not unlike owning a basketball team."
Profit margins, too, remain attractive at some newspaper
properties, ranging as high as 20 to 30 percent. Cuban explains that many
investors in his demographic would be thrilled with that kind of return, but, in
recent years, Wall Street analysts and institutional investors have fled. Share
prices of publicly traded publishers such as Gannett, the Tribune Company and
McClatchy are down at least 25 percent in the past three and half years.
| “Newspapers aren’t dying as much as they have to reinvent themselves.” | Cuban believes that many of today’s newspaper companies and the
families behind them are misguided managers focused too narrowly on the
intangibles of running a public trust. (Even public publishing enterprises such
as Tribune, McClatchy and The New York Times Company count founding family
members as controlling shareholders or their largest shareholders.) They desire,
Cuban says, to be perceived as the saviors of what Wall Street believes is a
moribund industry. Cuban compares the newspaper business to the American
automobile industry. With few exceptions, publishers are trying desperately to
tap-dance their way back to the halcyon days when newspapers ruled mass media.
"The level of arrogance among newspaper executives has amazed me," Cuban adds.
"Most of them have said, ‘Well, we’ve seen ups and downs before, but it will all
work out in the end.’"
For decades, he notes, outsized characters like William
Randolph Hearst and Arthur "Punch" Sulzberger dominated the newspaper industry,
and most of the large daily papers (and many of the smaller ones) were
controlled solely by wealthy families. But over the past 30 years, as many of
these families either took their companies public or sold them to large
conglomerates, the patriarchs were supplanted by bean-counters and business
school graduates better equipped to cut costs than build brands. Maybe, Cuban
muses, the time is ripe for new moguls—people like Warren Buffett, Ron Burkle,
David Geffen, Jack Welch and Sam Zell—to seize the opportunity to run the
newspaper sector (see "The Next Sulzberger?" at the end).
With the exception of Buffett, whose Berkshire Hathaway owns
the Buffalo News in New York and a 20 percent stake in the Washington Post
Company, none of these men have any experience in the newspaper industry.
(Through their spokespeople, all of them refused requests to be interviewed for
this article.) In early February, Welch told New York Magazine that he thought he
could return the Globe to profitability, although he
did not explain how he would do it.
Cuban contends that prior experience working in newspapers
should not be a prerequisite for prospective investors, simply because the
executives and families who have been controlling the industry for years have
lost so many readers (see "Losing the Paper Chase"). One thing that
these men do share, however, is a demographic affinity toward print media. Daily
newspaper readership is strongest among those 65 and older, and declines sharply
as age decreases. Buffett, Broad and Welch are in their 70s. "These old guys not
only have the money, but they also have an appetite for newspapers," Cuban
says.
TOP VIEW Newspaper company share prices and valuations are tumbling after
years of dwindling readership—and highly coveted younger consumers are turning
more often to the Internet to receive their information. But some of
America’s most successful contrarians are going bargain-shopping, buying these
troubled properties and investing millions in hopes of transforming them into
lean, mean, digital moneymaking machines. Driven by ego and profit, these
entrepreneurs often find themselves forced to make some of the toughest decisions of their careers. | Youth Movement Jared Kushner, 26, is an exception to this trend. He spent
nearly $10 million last summer to purchase a majority stake in the weekly
New York Observer. Like Cuban, Kushner believes that Wall Street and
institutional investors have greatly exaggerated the demise of the newspaper
industry. "Newspapers aren’t dying as much as they have to reinvent themselves,"
he says, adding that he’s "not scared off by all the hysteria." In February,
about six months after purchasing the salmon-colored newspaper that focuses on
Manhattan’s elite, Kushner began the reinvention process. He transformed the
paper from a broadsheet to a tabloid format and began replacing the
Observer’s 3,000-word features with shorter pieces.
"I wasn’t looking to get into the news business," Kushner
admits. "My interest was geared to an interesting opportunity." Kushner, the son
of New Jersey real estate developer Charles Kushner, likens his investment in
the Observer to buying a building that sits on a great location, but needs
major renovations. Published reports peg the Observer’s losses at roughly $2
million per year, though Kushner believes many of the "simple things" that his
team has changed will put the paper on the path toward profitability. In early
March, Kushner announced that he had purchased the political website
PoliticsNJ.com for an undisclosed sum. Although it was not immediately clear
what the connection between the website and the Observer will be,
the site received a redesign and added two new columns (including one by former
governor Christie Whitman) shortly after the announcement.
"We’re adapting the paper to the way people are consuming media
now, and we’re going to take the Observer brand to a whole other
level," he says. As for signs that his adjustments are working, Kushner said in
early February that it was still too early to tell. "We’re looking at a million
different options."
| “The level of arrogance among newspaper executives has amazed me.” | The Philadelphia Story Bruce Toll and his partners have also been busy making changes
since they acquired the Philadelphia
Inquirer and Philadelphia Daily News last year for $562 million. Toll, vice chairman of Toll Brothers, one of
the nation’s largest homebuilders, is a partner in Philadelphia Media
Holdings, a group of local business leaders who purchased the two papers from
McClatchy. The partners put up less than $200 million and borrowed more than
$300 million from the Royal Bank of Scotland.
Toll, who grew up in southeast Pennsylvania and says that he
began reading the Inquirer when he was 5, "always
thought it would be a nice idea to buy a paper. But it never really entered my
mind that it would actually happen until McClatchy announced that it was selling
the Inquirer. It’s not like I had called Knight-Ridder [which sold to
McClatchy in 2006] looking to buy the paper before," he explains. "But the right
thing for the paper is to have the paper’s ownership be in the local
Pennsylvania area."
Philadelphia Media Holdings hopes to improve the newspapers’
lot by spinning off new products to focus on sports, healthcare, entertainment
and neighborhoods. The group is exploring options for a redesign, and Toll has
expressed plans to add pages and improve the presentation of the layout. Brian
P. Tierney, founder of advertising agency Tierney Communications and chief
executive of Philadelphia Media Holdings, has also said that he sees tremendous
opportunities for the publications to reach out and connect with a younger
demographic.
But as Toll and his partners are discovering, local ownership
does not guarantee that the new proprietors will be greeted as rescuers. Soon
after Philadelphia Media Holdings acquired the Inquirer, the
paper’s highly respected top editor, Amanda Bennett, stepped down amid massive
layoffs—nearly 200 since the sale was completed. Not surprisingly, these cuts
have sparked reactions in both the local and national press. Toll admits that
the new ownership team knew going into the deal that they would be forced to cut
costs. "If we fired some janitors, nobody would have batted an eye. But we’ve
had to fire writers," he says.
After McClatchy acquired the two Philadelphia newspapers (along
with 30 additional titles from Knight-Ridder), it immediately moved to sell the
underperforming properties. McClatchy’s consultants tabbed the Philadelphia
papers as the most financially challenged ones. Toll recalls that McClatchy was,
therefore, a highly motivated seller that streamlined the acquisition process.
The two sides closed the deal in two months.
Toll and his partners are not the only investors being lured
into this market by fire-sale prices for what they perceive as undervalued
brands. Last December, McClatchy sold the Minneapolis Star-Tribune to New
York–based private equity firm Avista Capital Partners for $530 million, or less
than half of what McClatchy paid for the newspaper eight years earlier. In
January, The New York Times Company announced that it was taking an $814 million
write-down on its New England media group, whose assets include the
Boston Globe that Welch considered buying. Fourteen years earlier, The
Times had paid $1.4 billion for the newspapers.
Revenue Rescue Investors are also enticed by the opportunity to move these
businesses into private hands and away from the pressures of the quarterly Wall
Street earnings dance. Some industry veterans suggest that this strategy may
offer some of these newspapers enough breathing room to begin transforming
themselves. Serial entrepreneur Steve Brill, who runs Verified Identity Pass,
has invested millions of dollars in print media, founding two magazines,
American Lawyer and Brill’s
Content. He contends that the best move for
newspaper investors is "to get out from under the idiot stock analysts. If it’s
a private company, and it doesn’t have to deal with the quarter-to-quarter
numbers, it can start charging for online content," he explains. "It will lose
ad revenue because of the lower eyeballs, but in the end, it should help its
business."
Brill admits that he sometimes considers reentering the media
business, especially when he sees the attractive sale prices right now. But he’s
having too much fun with what he’s doing—creating a private firm that prescreens
travelers to pass through airport security lines. Moreover, the challenges of
squeezing digital revenue out of traditional print properties remain
daunting. Only one newspaper—the Wall
Street Journal—has built what most analysts
agree is a successful online subscription model. But, Brill notes, many
Journal readers simply consider an online subscription a business expense.
Traditional local newspapers, even in huge cities such as Los Angeles and
Houston, cannot count on this type of captive audience.
Most media analysts agree that the future of newspapers is
largely rooted in a digital medium. Investors entering this fray must be
prepared to expend millions of dollars to extend these brands online. The
Los Angeles Times recently announced a strategy to staff its online news desk 24
hours a day to, as executives explained, break news on the Web and expand and
analyze it in print. Print journalists will be expected to also write for
Latimes.com. But are moves like this too little, too late to catch up with
well-established Web portals such as MSN.com and Yahoo?
For most newspapers, online revenue from both subscription
services and advertising has been anemic at best. But for entrepreneurs like
Cuban, all is far from lost. While newspapers were late to recognize and respond
to the demand for both online content and advertising, most of them retain a
niche that some investors find hard to resist. Cuban advises that newspapers
should focus on what they do best: covering their local markets like a blanket.
Whatever happens, they will continue to hold one advantage over staring at a
flickering computer monitor or a pint-size BlackBerry device. "Here’s their new
marketing campaign," Cuban offers. "If you don’t want to go blind, read a
newspaper."
Within the past 12 months, many successful individual investors
have been linked to potential newspaper deals. A few of them
include:
Warren Buffett,
investments: The New York Times. Eli Broad, real
estate development: Tribune
Company. Ron Burkle,
supermarkets: Tribune Company. David Geffen,
entertainment: Los Angeles Times. Jack Welch,
business executive: Boston Globe. Sam Zell, real
estate development: Tribune
Company.
Michelle Leder runs the blog Footnoted.org and is the author of
Financial Fineprint: Uncovering a Company’s True
Value.
Additional Information
Losing the Paper Chase |