Why turn your back on a 13 percent return? That is the record pace at
which residential property values in the United States increased in 2005,
according to the Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight. Since the real
estate market rebounded 15 years ago from its last serious slump, precipitated
by the Black Monday market crash and the 1990-91 recession, it has proven to be
a peerless investment.
But the boom that created more than $30 trillion in value in
developed countries between 2000 and 2005, according to an estimate last summer
by The Economist, is showing signs of age, especially in the U.S. Those who believe the
end of a speculative run up is in sight point to the current lull in sales of
high-end properties and real estate agents’ growing inventories. But others
believe that the market remains healthy, noting that the number of new housing
starts continues to climb and properties priced under $1 million still sell
quickly.
The sentiment of private investors toward real estate remains strong.
However, while aggregate figures are difficult to find, private bankers and real estate investment
specialists say that many wealthy families are looking to diversify their real
estate portfolios by including overseas assets, both as a way to obtain exposure
to fast-growing markets and as a hedge against the possibility of a downturn in
the U.S. They are seeking out new real estate investment trust (REIT) markets,
private equity—style real estate funds and syndicated, bespoke property
investments. "A lot of American investors are looking to disproportionately
up-weight ex-America real estate, and that’s really gathered momentum over the
past year," notes Peter Hobbs, London-based global head of real estate and
infrastructure research with Deutsche Bank. The questions of how and where to
invest depend on the individual’s liquidity preferences, return expectations and
risk tolerance. TOP VIEW:
Concerns about the U.S.
housing market have prompted many wealthy investors to consider diversifying
their real estate portfolios by including exposures to fast-growing countries
overseas. Both developed and emerging economies have established regulatory
frameworks to support real estate investment trusts, one of the most liquid
vehicles for taking exposure to property markets. But those with longer
investment time horizons may want to take a more direct approach, investing
directly in syndicated property acquisitions or through private equity funds
that specialize in overseas real estate. | The principle factor that distinguishes among the various
options for investing in overseas property is liquidity. At the very illiquid
end of the spectrum are private equity vehicles specializing in real estate.
"That’s the least liquid form of investment because you have no control at all
over the management or sale of your asset," says Willie Gething, London-based
global head of real estate at HSBC Private Bank.Syndications of private properties by private banks are also
extremely illiquid. In these transactions, a bank arranges and underwrites the
purchase of one or more buildings, and then syndicates the exposure among its
clients, while typically charging underwriting and arranging fees. Investor
demand for these types of deals–which leverage the bank’s expertise in the
overseas property market–is growing strongly, Gething says, adding, "These are
less liquid than buying your own building because you can only sell when the
syndicate wants to sell it." Buying your own commercial or residential property is clearly
more liquid, although only for those with market-specific expertise, time to
invest and a healthy appetite for risk. Further on toward the more-liquid end of
the spectrum are unlisted funds, which may offer the opportunity to exit on a
quarterly basis, and REITs, which can be traded every day, Gething notes.
|