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| Visions and Revisions |
Finding Fortune’s Favor
Jan Alexander
04/01/2004
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The epidemic should also be a reminder that
completely unexpected events often have the largest economic effects. For
example, globalization requires travel, and an epidemic prevents travel. Nike
announced in the spring of 2003 it would have to move its production out of
China if its managers and engineers could not travel there. Offshore
supply-chain costs soar if executives are ordered to spend 10 days away from
work, as happened to some Japanese executives after they visited a SARS-infested
location.
When it comes to allocating resources, however, the private sector simply
does a better job than the government. There may be reasons to have less government intervention, but it does
not inevitably follow that it will bring prosperity or efficiency.
New
Zealand is a glaring example of a country that tried to do everything right and
failed. In the 1980s New Zealand privatized all of its basic public services,
even the post office, yet its growth has been the slowest in the developed
world, at less than half the Organization for Economic Cooperation and
Development average.
New Zealand’s downfall was that it did not identify a
competitive advantage in the marketplace. By contrast, consider those alleged
epitomes of free markets, Hong Kong and Singapore. Both established
comparative advantage: Hong Kong had the geographic good fortune to be the
gateway to China, while in Singapore the government built the best
infrastructure in the region, perhaps in the world. The fact that Hong Kong and
Singapore both have systems that allow private sector companies to grow
unimpeded has led to a myth that these are places where market forces reign. In
reality there is no other country in the world where the government is more
involved in economic planning than Singapore; some people describe the economy
as socialism done right. In Hong Kong, the government owns the land, and a large
percentage of the population—at one point 80 percent—live in government housing.
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