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| Best Practices | ||||
| Pooling Resources
Elizabeth Wine 04/01/2005 |
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Janet McKinley and her husband, George Miller, have supported microfinance programs for the past decade. They first learned how small business loans to individuals in developing countries can help lift them out of poverty during a visit to a village a four-hour drive outside Hanoi. There they spent a day observing how a local microfinance institution (MFI), essentially a small bank, made loans to aspiring local businesspeople. The women who came looking for loans earned less than $2 a month.
Capital-raising for microfinance programs took a great leap forward in sophistication last year with the first securitization of MFI loans—a transaction in which McKinley and her husband participated. Securitization, the backbone of the U.S. mortgage market, is the process of bundling loans (or other revenue producing assets) together and selling them to investors in the form of bonds—in other words, turning them into securities, hence the term. The sponsors plow most of the net proceeds from the bond offering back into new MFI loans. In this way, they tap a new source of capital to support their microfinance initiatives. McKinley and Miller believe securitization could very well help MFIs gain access to much more capital.
McKinley argues that MFI loan securitizations have several properties that should make them attractive to investors. They are not correlated with other asset classes, so they increase the diversification and lower the volatility of investors’ portfolios. Also, the fact that the collateral loans are denominated in foreign currencies provides something of a hedge against the U.S. dollar. The BlueOrchard deal is a seven-year investment backed by a wide range of loans with tenors of less than one year. Because the average MFI loan term is four to six months in Latin America and approximately one year in Asia, the mismatch in tenor between the bond and the collateral allows the MFIs to circulate the money to borrowers several times before they must return it to investors. The securitization also provides MFIs with access to capital at a much lower rate than they would be able to secure from local banks.
Turning loans for the poor into viable investments remains a challenge. Investor satisfaction with the BlueOrchard deal will be a benchmark for determining whether such philanthropy-investment crossovers will become more common. BlueOrchard certainly attracted an audience. It was oversubscribed—which means there was more demand than supply—and it sold out in an hour. The sponsors hope to raise an additional $40 million with a second issue this spring. The minimum level of investment for individuals will be $25,000.
MFIs boast a 95 percent loan repayment history. This represents a lower default rate, over microfinance’s 30-year history, than credit cards, student loans and even U.S. corporate bonds. MFI officials claim that microcredit recipients diligently repay their loans even in war-torn countries. McKinley claims that when Indonesia experienced its economic meltdown in the late 1990s, Bank Rakat Indonesia saw its loan business succeed in its core market of low-income borrowers, while large and midsize businesses defaulted in large numbers. Yet without a long track record of default data verified by independent third parties such as ratings agencies, investors will remain leery. Damian von Stauffenberg, founder and CEO of MicroRate, the first rating agency for microlenders, says they are right to worry. “Whenever anybody talks to you about repayment rates, be suspicious,” he advises, noting MFIs can manipulate the figure by various means, which include simply reissuing delinquent loans. Von Stauffenberg says the figure investors should heed is how much of a portfolio’s loans are more than 30 days in arrears. Five percent or less is favorable.
Even so, microfinance loans, by their very nature, do not lend themselves to securitization. MFI managers have to transform a grab bag of tiny loans—$50 for a cow here, $100 for a loom there—into a pool of loans homogeneous enough to securitize. Supporters say there are enough loans in the microfinance market now that sponsors are able to find enough similar transactions. The size of the market has grown 30 percent per year for the last decade, according to Grameen. Proponents admit there are hurdles to overcome, but argue that microfinance securitization is in the same early stage of development as credit card securitization was in the 1980s and mortgages more than half a century ago. They contend that microfinance will experience the same growing pains, but eventually become a well-established asset class. Too Much, Too Soon Another concern stems from the fact that MFIs can effectively administer only a limited number of loans. Inability to put the revenues from a securitization to work right away might cause them to loosen their standards and make unwise loans. “If you flood the market, you’ll increase the amount of defaults—that’s been seen by governments—so we’re doing it in stages,” says Drew Tulchin, program officer for capital markets at Grameen Foundation USA.
Otero expects that securitization will become a useful tool, but not one likely to be widely employed for at least another five years. Even by then, she believes it will reach only the countries with more developed bond markets, such as India, Brazil and Mexico. “From my perspective,” Otero says, “it is far more important to make these institutions strong financially and enable them to access capital from their local domestic markets than it is to bring complicated financial engineering for which microfinance and the financial markets are not ready.” Elizabeth Wine is a Brooklyn-based freelance writer who has written extensively about investing and philanthropy. elizabethwine1@yahoo.com |