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Opportunities & Exposures: Industry
Unlocking Siberia’s Secret
David Zaikin
04/01/2006

Alert observers were justifiably confused by two events that occurred in Russia this past winter. First, the State Duma voted to lift the 20 percent limit on direct foreign ownership of shares in Gazprom, the world’s largest natural gas producer. Then, President Vladimir Putin rattled the whole of the European Union with his brief embargo of gas supplies to Ukraine. These headline-grabbing events did little to calm investor anxieties that have lingered since the arrest and conviction of Mikhail Khordokovsky and the breakup of his company, Yukos. But, in reality, a great many small and midsize oil and gas companies, as well as large multinationals, have learned to thrive in Russia.

Our 4-year-old company–run by two of us Russian-born émigrés and a natural-born American–is exploring for oil in western Siberia along the Kazakhstan border. The past four years have shown us that in this harsh region of the world, both opportunities and obstacles abound.

To start, what makes Siberian exploration attractive is that the reservoirs are shallow and yield oil easily and cheaply. Petroleum and mineral reserves can be purchased at 10 percent or even 5 percent of prices found elsewhere in the world. Wage rates trail by a similar amount, yet the workforce is highly educated. But Russia’s market suffers from excess supply that depresses domestic crude prices to roughly 66 percent of those commonly found elsewhere.

Russia’s oil market also suffers from a crying need for export infrastructure. There are two large pipelines under construction in Siberia, where most of Russia’s oil lies, leading to China and other parts of Asia. But Siberia also needs direct links to Western Europe and North America. Rail transport is significantly more expensive.

We set out to create a company that would use Western technology and capital to access Russia’s inexpensive resources at a time when Russia had many small oil companies on the auction block. These we avoided entirely. Too many buyers learn who the target company’s true owners are only after signing the papers, sometimes leaving the buyers stuck with tax debts or a company associated with criminals. Instead, we bought licenses for mineral exploration at auction from the Ministry of Natural Resources. We now own exploration rights to more than 630,000 acres in western Siberia and will enter seven more auctions to acquire another 700,000 acres.

Navigating the Waters
It is still difficult to obtain capital, primarily because investors are concerned about political intervention. Their fears are not unfounded, but there are ways to navigate the system. We did it by establishing ourselves as a publicly traded, U.S.-based company with 100 percent of its assets in Russia. We are looking into listing the company on London’s Alternative Investment Market or AMEX to take advantage of the greater liquidity and interest in natural resource companies there.

Any company in Russia, whether foreign or domestic, needs political support, yet it must manage to keep its nose out of the political process. If Khordokovsky had played a lesser role in government affairs, he would probably still be CEO of Yukos. Putin certainly knew that his arrest would make foreign investors nervous. But he saw it as a risk worth taking in order to stop Khordokovsky and other oligarchs from gaining enough power to dictate the terms under which Yukos would produce oil.

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