A developer of high-end vacation
homes recently visited Worth’s offices on the advice of his PR firm, which had learned
that we were writing about real estate. Not to be deterred by the fact that we
are looking at real estate opportunities overseas, the developer kindly offered his
views on the high-end domestic market.
Worth: So, how’s business?
Developer: Great! We sold all the
properties in our first development. A few of those buyers have already bought
lots in the second, which we’ll develop later this year.
W: They want to own two
properties?
D: No, no. No, they’re investing.
They’ll build on them, then sell them for a big profit.
W: Doesn’t that eat into your own profits?
D: We don’t mind–it gives us the
capital to develop more of our properties, and it gives them the opportunity to
double or triple their money.
W: Aren’t they worried about the market?
D: Our part of the market is pretty
well insulated. The type of people who buy our properties are buying them
because they really fall in love with them. They aren’t too concerned with
fluctuations in the real estate market.
W: The type of people who want to double or triple their money sound like
the type who would worry about fluctuations.
D: Well, we do have some who like
to speculate, just for the charge they get out of it, really. But most of our
buyers don’t really focus on them as investments.
W: Are you concerned about the growing inventories of high-end
properties?
D: No, again, we’re insulated from
that because our clientele are looking for really unusual, exceptional
properties.
W: A number of exceptional
townhouses in New York have recently seen their asking prices slashed by
millions of dollars.
D: Yes, some things in some markets
may be too aggressive. But even so, our clients don’t worry much about losses of
that magnitude.
W: The same people who are
begging to be admitted to any hedge fund that promises a middling single-digit
annual return are not too worried about a loss of several million
dollars?
D: Well, they look at their
investments and their home-buying very differently. They fall in love with these
homes.
W: I thought they were speculating.
D: No, only a few of them are. And
they look at it really like more of a game. They are risk takers. They enjoy
it.
W: What do you think about
the rapid growth of the jumbo mortgage market? Does it worry you that high-end
real estate is being financed with a growing proportion of debt?
D: No, not really. Most of our
buyers can just write a check for these properties. If they borrow to buy them,
it’s just for the sake of convenience.
W: I can’t imagine they would tie up that much cash, unless they were
worried the property would not appreciate enough to offset the cost of the
mortgage.
D: Well, again, it’s just a matter
of what is convenient. And I’m sure they will appreciate. Real estate has
outperformed for decades.
W: Well, at least since 1993 or so. But to get back to the broader real
estate market–its health depends on the health of the economy and the markets.
If your buyers take a hit in their portfolios and businesses, and see real
estate values stagnate, all at the same time, wouldn’t it affect your part of
the property market?
D: Well, OK, it might, a little.
But it would be just a short-term blip.
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